In looking at strategic debates within India, perhaps
the more surprising fact is not that K. Subrahmanyam
actually speaks the language of ‘national interest’ in a land
where such voices tend to be drowned out by declamations
of ‘Gandhian’ and ‘Nehruvian’ ideas, but that his
ideas are still considered unrepresentative even as India
tries to carve out a position of global influence for itself.
It’s not for lack of effort, however. Though still a controversial
figure, Subrahmanyam is widely acknowledged
as the doyen of Indian strategic thinking. 1 is collection,
brought out on the occasion of his 75th birthday,
acknowledges his efforts at pushing the Indian elite (who
presume to lead debates on matters of pressing concern
to the country) to engage with Indian security. Until
the late 1960s, strategic studies in India was a backwater,
unfrequented by the intelligentsia who tended instead
to focus more on economics and development, perhaps
a justifiable bias given the economic realities on the subcontinent
at the time. It was also the product of the postcolonial
country’s recent history, where security, until just
two decades earlier, had been defined in terms of gaining
independence. After 1947, parliamentarians found themselves
not only having to change course from fighting
against the British to running the country, but they also
had to come up with foreign and security policies for an
independent India (whose borders did not conform to the
state whose independence they had fought for). This task
was left to India’s first Prime Minister, Jawaharlal Nehru.
Meanwhile parliamentarians, with the help of the Indian
intelligentsia, set about putting in place an administrative
machinery for the new country, either by adapting old
colonial structures, or creating new ones.
In hindsight, the lack of serious engagement with
strategic matters at the time is breathtaking. By then,
India had fought three wars with its two largest neighbours
and was soon to be embroiled in a fourth. China,
arguably the source of greatest Indian insecurities at the
time, had slipped into the nuclear club sanctified by the
conclusion in 1968 of the Non-Proliferation Treaty. The
level of debate in response to these developments was
rudimentary at best; one parliamentarian, Nath Pai,
was finally driven to remark in Parliament after the first
Chinese nuclear test that ‘[i]nstead of making a very
dispassionate and calm assessment of the Chinese possession
of this dangerous, deadly weapon, we have been
indulging once again in sentimental platitudes, confusing
the whole issue, and unnecessarily dragging [into the
debate] Mahatma Gandhi, Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru, and,
for good measure, Lord Buddha and Samrat Ashoka’.
1 In
many ways, India was now paying the price for excessive
dependence on Nehru: under his guidance, certainly
up to the China débâcle, India’s defence policy was its
foreign policy. Nehru, as foreign minister, had largely
crafted both. After his death and especially in the wake
of China’s nuclearisation, Parliament found itself forced
to tread hitherto unfamiliar territory. Against this backdrop,
after taking over as Director of the governmentfunded
Institute for Defence Studies and Analysis (IDSA)
in 1968 (a post he held until 1972, and then again from
1980 until his retirement from the Indian Administrative
Service in 1987), it took some time for Subrahmanyam
to stir things up. In fact, it was not until the 1990s that
a coherent debate on Indian security began to take shape.
In many ways, therefore, this book is a fi tting tribute to a
man who has worked tirelessly to jolt Indians out of their
customary strategic somnolence to engage with the nittygritty
of defending ‘India’.
Security Beyond Survival is a collection of eleven essays
written by people who have interacted with Subrahmanyam
over the years and who to varying degrees share his
interest in seeing a proper debate on security take root
and flourish in the subcontinent. The topics covered
are matters on which Subrahmanyam has written on
and spoken of extensively — from the broad overview of
Indian security down to the fine details of India’s relationships
with her neighbours. The only exception, perhaps,
is the last essay, ‘A Rather Personal Biography’, by his son
Sanjay. In providing a brief sketch of the man behind
the reams of newsprint that bear his by-line, along with
the shelves of books that have been written, co-authored
or edited by him (the collection also contains a ‘select
bibliography’ of Subrahmanyam’s work which alone runs
to eleven pages), this essay anchors the discussion in the
person behind the name, thereby bringing the review
round full-circle: this is a debate carried out by individuals
as individuals. And Subrahmanyam, to his credit, has
always encouraged a multiplicity of voices, even if the
cacophony brings forth those who do not agree with him.
Even when disagreements threaten to derail consensus
— as it was feared might be the case when the National
Security Advisory Board (NSAB), which was tasked with
producing a draft nuclear doctrine after India’s nuclear
tests of 1998, began its work with Subrahmanyam
managing a group of thirty individuals and several large
egos — he remained firm that individual opinions should
not be obliterated in the need for conformity or unanimity.
1 is is as it should be. India is too large and diverse a
country for any single view-point to pretend to speak for
the whole population, and if there is one area where this
collection fails the person it honours, it is in not providing
a discordant view from a scholar who disagrees with
him. It would not diminish Subrahmanyam’s contribution
to Indian strategic thinking; in fact, it would be a
testimonial to the reach of his work.
Subrahmanyam himself has spoken of the need for a
healthy debate in India which can produce an informed,
long-term approach to strategic matters. Not only has
there not been a single White Paper on defence in the
country, but the one and only public report on defence
matters — the Kargil Review Committee Report — has not
been formally discussed in Parliament, despite the fact
that the report highlights an almost total intelligence failure
and emphasises the urgent need for India to engage
with the implications of its and Pakistan’s overt nuclear
postures after their nuclear tests of 1998. As Subrahmanyam
remarks in exasperation, the country’s indifference
to examining defence in any meaningful way is a means
of ‘abdicating responsibility’ for supporting the armed
forces in defending the nation.
2 These gaps are most
visible in the area of long-term policy setting, which has
fallen victim to the lack of any institutionalised forum for
a thorough examination of India’s interests and goals in
the medium and long term. One contributor, D. Shyam
Babu, goes so far as to distinguish between ‘long-term
policy’ and ‘long-term thinking’ (in ‘National Security
Council: Yet Another Ad Hoc Move?’), admitting that
there has been little of the former in the Indian approach
to national security. And long-term thinking can easily
slip into a policy of postponing diffcult decisions. India’s
approach to nuclear policy is especially apt in this regard:
the ‘option’ that existed between 1968 and 1998 was for
some the embodiment of long-term thinking; harsher
critics have of course referred to the ‘option’ as the
absence of any policy, sheltered behind the comfortable
language of restraint which allowed a postponement of
any final decision on a commitment to either permanent
abstention or nuclearisation.
This lack of meaningful engagement with security is
reflected at the institutional and academic level. As P.R.
Kumaraswamy points out in his article, ‘National Security:
A Critique’, there is a serious dearth of independently-
funded think-tanks in India which can be relied on
to provide an ‘outside’ view to balance government thinking;
most of the non-official centres and institutes that
focus on strategic affairs depend to some extent on state
funding and tend, however reluctantly, to get co-opted
into the system. That Subrahmanyam pushed the limits
of the system from the inside is no guarantee that those
who follow in his footsteps will be similarly able to jog
government thinking out of its comfortable and customary
grooves.
In a way, Kumaraswamy throws down the gauntlet
in his opening article when he laments the paucity of
informed analysis in the wider strategic debate in India.
For some Indians it is enough that India survives. If
India is to become more than an ever ‘emerging’ power,
or is to make the transition from a regional power to a
global one, it will only do so on the back of a long-term
engagement with security and with India’s global position
as it is and not as Indians wish it to be. Yet any synergy
that might develop between, on the one hand, the
government and bureaucracy who shape and implement
policy, and on the other, academia and the attentive public
who critique these issues, is completely undermined
by a culture of secrecy that dominates South Block (the
building that houses the Ministries of Defence, External
Aff airs and the Prime Minister’s Office); the resulting
academic eff orts remain sadly ‘uninspired’ at best. As he
remarks, ‘[d]espite the prolonged nuclear debate, proliferation
of scholars and unending stream of writings, two
of the classic works on India’s nuclear policy have been
written by Western scholars’. And it is true that scholars
of India’s past, present and future nuclear posture would
be well advised if pointed in the direction of George
Perkovich’s
India’s Nuclear Bomb and Ashley Tellis’s
India’s
Emerging Nuclear Posture: Between Recessed Deterrence and
Ready Arsenal in furthering their understanding.
This points to a conundrum: there is evidently, as
Kumaraswamy observes, a reasonable amount of discussion
on some strategic topics. Yet bringing a lot of
musicians together and instructing them to ‘play something’
will not produce a symphony. There is a lack of
focus in Indian debates on security. As Subrahmanyam
explains, in the three or four years after the ‘Tehelka’
scandal (on defence procurement) broke, much has been
written about ‘Tehelka’ and the political implications
of the story, but very little has actually been discussed about the defence-related ramifications of a sting that was
meant to probe kick-backs in defence deals.
3 This is nothing
new in India. When the Comprehensive Test Ban
Treaty (CTBT) was being negotiated in the mid-1990s,
several rainforests-worth of newsprint were devoted to big
power politics being played out in Geneva, with very little
space dedicated to the strategic implications of a treaty
that would potentially seriously undermine India’s nuclear
‘option’ by forever denying it the freedom to test a
nuclear device. Perhaps if Indians sat down to discuss the
implications of a fissile material cut-off treaty (FMCT),
which the Vajpayee government promised to negotiate
after the 1998 tests, and which is being worked out at the
Conference on Disarmament at the moment, there might
be grounds for hope that the Indian strategic debate is
finally coming of age.
Quite apart from not pushing the government on
matters of defence as they occur, there is also a curious
acceptance of the government’s insistence on secrecy. The
armed forces have been calling for a declassification of the
histories of the 1962, 1965 and 1971 wars, along with
the records of the Indian Peacekeeping Force to Sri Lanka
in the late 1980s. These requests have met with a stony
silence, which is echoed by the complete disinterest that
the strategic community displays in these matters. This is
completely baffling: are the Indian armed forces expected
to learn from the military histories of other nations which
draw on material that has been declassified after a suitable
quarantine period? Perhaps a start can be made in returning
periodically to the war with China to examine what
went wrong. Rajesh Rajagopalan’s essay, ‘Re-examining
the “Forward Policy”’, takes a tentative step in this direction
by opening the debate on whether India’s ‘forward
policy’ of the early 1960s was a provocative or defensive
measure. The essay raises several questions, especially in
challenging the almost accepted version that India was
caught completely unawares by the Chinese attack in October
1962, when in fact New Delhi had been preparing
(albeit weakly) to defend against Chinese incursions along
the border from 1958, after Indian intelligence reported
on a Chinese road in Aksai Chin in the Western Sector of
the disputed border. Yet, without access to intelligence
reports and the subsequent inquiries into the failures of
the war, we will never be able to look at the full picture.
Forty years after the event, the need for such complete secrecy
over this war is no longer defensible; nor, indeed, is
the Indian public’s acquiescence in this veil of impenetrability.
Indeed, Rajagopalan remarks without the slightest
trace of irony that until the Chinese archives are opened
up we may never know what motivated the Chinese to
attack in 1962 instead of diplomatically asserting their
claim to the territory earlier, in response to Indian maps
showing the disputed territories as Indian. Considering
the barriers to scholarly research that keep scholars out
of the Indian archives, it might be more fruitful to look
within our own records to see what went wrong when the
warning signs were apparently visible for all to see.
Of course, the secrecy that shrouds India’s military
history pales into the limpid light of day in comparison
with the covertness that marks India’s nuclear policy. It
is a measure of the complete lack of information that surrounds
all matters nuclear that India’s nuclear tests were
immediately denounced by critics as a tactic by the BJP
to bolster their coalition unity and win further electoral
support. In fact, in his fi rst columns after the tests,
Subrahmanyam wrote at length about how the nuclear
tests of 1998 were the cumulative product of several
governments’ work, going all the way back to the nuclear
estate established by Jawaharlal Nehru. (It is astonishing
that Indians had apparently forgotten that the country
had actually crossed a fairly significant technological and
military line in 1974 when it tested its first atomic device,
the semantics of calling it a ‘peaceful nuclear explosion’
notwithstanding.) Not much has changed since May
1998 as far as the level of informed debate on nuclear
policies is concerned, but one is not sure whether this has
more to do with apathy on the part of the Indian public
and strategic community, or if this reflects a continuation
of the policy of secrecy by the state, or indeed, is a
product of both factors.
Unfortunately, this collection does not really further
this debate. There is one article on nuclear risk-reduction
by Michael Krepon, but it leaves one feeling slightly
cheated since he spends over half the article discussing
the Cold War before admitting that the dynamics in
South Asia will probably be very different from those that
prevailed in the West. However, Krepon does open up
the debate in pointing out that the triangular relationship
of China, India and Pakistan will make it immeasurably
more difficult to arrive at some sort of modus vivendi.
Furthermore, managing the nuclear relationship will
require a long-term engagement with confidence-building
measures that cannot be limited to grand pronouncements
and symbolic measures designed to ‘assuage
foreign audiences that leaders in South Asia are capable of
managing their diff erences’. It requires a commitment to
staying the course and fully understanding the implications
of building – and destroying – bridges of trust between
the three countries. A large part of the impetus for
creating these links will of course have to come from the
attentive publics of these states; but for that, there needs
to be an informed debate on nuclear issues. As the Kargil
Review Committee Report (which was largely written by
Subrahmanyam) and a subsequent internal assessment
by the Army revealed (parts of this were leaked to the
newsweekly Outlook), the Kargil encounter was the result
of several failures, the most prominent amongst which
were a colossal intelligence break-down and the sense of
complacency that overt nuclearisation would guarantee
a nuclear peace in the subcontinent.
4 Indeed the current
level of complacency, disinterest even, over India’s nuclear
policies is worrying to say the least. History should not
show that the debate on India’s nuclear policy was just
about ‘going nuclear’; now that the rubicon has been
crossed, it is imperative that India’s strategic community
engage meaningfully and in a sustained fashion with the
implications of this development.
In the end, this is a book about strategic issues, and
as such, it does continue and fuel the debate. Perhaps
the biggest tribute to Subrahmanyam’s infl uence and his
legacy lies in the fact that the contributors to this volume
span the globe, attesting to his having reached out to a
wide audience. Even if, as Selig Harrison remarks (in
‘KS: A Personal Impression’), Subrahmanyam’s candidness
tended to unsettle Americans, who are more comfortable
with the usual polite obfuscations of most Indian diplomats,
in the end, his refusal to couch his understanding
of India’s ‘national interest’ in anything but the terms
of realpolitik forced them to engage with this man who
never believed in anything but plain-speaking. It’s not a
bad legacy to reflect on.
Priyanjali Malik is a DPhil student at Merton College writing her
dissertation on the debate over India’s nuclear policy in the 1990s.
Prior to this, she worked at the International Institute for Strategic
Studies, London after obtaining an MPhil in International Relations
from Balliol College in 2001. She gained her fi rst degree in English
Literature from Princeton University, where she found herself after
growing up in Calcutta, India.
Notes
1.
Lok Sabha Debates, 3rd Series, 35.6 (23 November 1964).
2. Author’s interview with K. Subrahmanyam, New Delhi, January
2005.
3. Ibid. The ‘Tehelka’ scandal erupted when an on-line newsportal,
Tehelka, conducted a sting operation in the latter half of
2000 to expose the payoff s to politicians in arms deals. In the
upheaval that followed, the Defence Minister, George Fernandes,
was forced to resign as he too was implicated in ‘Operation
West End’. See http://www.tehelka.com/home/20041009/
our_story.htm
4. See, Saikat Dutta, “What’s the Secret?”, Outlook, 28 February, 2005.